FC Lorient vs Paris FC
Saturday 10 October at 19:45 BST
The model favours FC Lorient at 37%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 46%.
About this forecast
Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.
Current forecast generated: . Recorded before the listed kick-off.
Model version: website-poisson-2026-09-v1. League fitting sample: 350 matches (not this team's last matches).
Data source: football-data.org. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.
Read the methodology and limitations and full recorded results, including losses.
FC Lorient vs Paris FC: model estimates & correct score
Our statistical model makes FC Lorient the favourite, giving them a 37% chance of a home win, in this Ligue 1 fixture. No single outcome reaches 40% in the model; the remaining probability is split between the other two outcomes.
The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 46%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 37%, the model assigns the other outcomes 63% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.
Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.
Data-driven tennis forecasts: set/game predictions, per-player success rates and match-winner calls.
- ✓Match winner
- ✓Set games
- ✓Player success rate
Predictions are statistical probabilities, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org