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Ligue 1

Paris FC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace

Saturday 19 September at 15:15

The model favours Paris FC at 44%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 63%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Most likely score
1–1

Paris FC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes Paris FC the favourite, giving them a 44% chance of a home win, in this Ligue 1 fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.

The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 63%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 44%, the other outcomes still come in around 56% of the time.

Our software
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