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Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Olympique Lyonnais

Saturday 12 September at 19:45 BST

The model favours Paris FC at 40%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 51%.

About this forecast

Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.

Generation time was not recorded for this forecast; pre-match publication cannot be verified here.

Model version: not recorded. League fitting sample: not recorded.

Data source: not recorded for this forecast. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.

Read the methodology and limitations and full recorded results, including losses.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Most likely score
1–1

Paris FC vs Olympique Lyonnais: model estimates & correct score

Our statistical model makes Paris FC the favourite, giving them a 40% chance of a home win, in this Ligue 1 fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.

The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 51%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 40%, the model assigns the other outcomes 60% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.

Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.

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