Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC
Sunday 20 September at 18:45
The model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC at 47%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 63%.
Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC: prediction, odds & correct score
Our statistical model makes Paris Saint-Germain FC the favourite, giving them a 47% chance of an away win, in this Ligue 1 fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 63%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 47%, the other outcomes still come in around 53% of the time.
Specialises in half-time/full-time outcomes: how matches swing across both halves.
- ✓Half-time / Full-time
- ✓Correct score
- ✓Goals
Predictions are statistical probabilities, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org