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Ligue 1

OGC Nice vs Lille OSC

Sunday 20 September at 15:15

The model favours Lille OSC at 53%, a 0–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 40%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Most likely score
0–1

OGC Nice vs Lille OSC: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes Lille OSC the favourite, giving them a 53% chance of an away win, in this Ligue 1 fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.

The single most likely exact score is 0–1. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 40%, leaning towards a lower-scoring, cagey affair.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 53%, the other outcomes still come in around 47% of the time.

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