Mirassol FC vs Grêmio FBPA
Saturday 18 July at 00:00 BST
The model favours Mirassol FC at 56%, a 1–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 48%.
About this forecast
Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.
Generation time was not recorded for this forecast; pre-match publication cannot be verified here.
Model version: not recorded. League fitting sample: not recorded.
Data source: not recorded for this forecast. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.
Read the methodology and limitations and full recorded results, including losses.
Mirassol FC vs Grêmio FBPA: model estimates & correct score
Our statistical model makes Mirassol FC the favourite, giving them a 56% chance of a home win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 1–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 48%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 56%, the model assigns the other outcomes 44% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.
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