Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras
Saturday 15 August at 19:30
The model favours SE Palmeiras at 39%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 36%.
Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras: prediction, odds & correct score
Our statistical model makes SE Palmeiras the favourite, giving them a 39% chance of an away win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. It's a genuinely open match: no outcome clears 40%, so this is close to a coin-toss with only a slight lean.
The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 36%, leaning towards a lower-scoring, cagey affair.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 39%, the other outcomes still come in around 61% of the time.
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