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Bundesliga

FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München

Saturday 10 October at 14:30 BST

The model favours FC Bayern München at 69%, a 1–2 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 78%.

About this forecast

Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.

Current forecast generated: . Recorded before the listed kick-off.

Model version: website-poisson-2026-09-v1. League fitting sample: 342 matches (not this team's last matches).

Data source: football-data.org. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.

Read the methodology and limitations and full recorded results, including losses.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Most likely score
1–2

FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München: model estimates & correct score

Our statistical model makes FC Bayern München the favourite, giving them a 69% chance of an away win, in this Bundesliga fixture. That's a strong lean by the model's standards.

The single most likely exact score is 1–2. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 78%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 69%, the model assigns the other outcomes 31% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.

Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.

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