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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A

EC Bahia vs CR Vasco da Gama

Sunday 9 August at 20:00 BST

The model favours EC Bahia at 58%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 56%.

About this forecast

Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.

Generation time was not recorded for this forecast; pre-match publication cannot be verified here.

Model version: not recorded. League fitting sample: not recorded.

Data source: not recorded for this forecast. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.

Read the methodology and limitations and full recorded results, including losses.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Most likely score
1–1

EC Bahia vs CR Vasco da Gama: model estimates & correct score

Our statistical model makes EC Bahia the favourite, giving them a 58% chance of a home win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.

The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 56%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 58%, the model assigns the other outcomes 42% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.

Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.

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