EC Bahia vs Chapecoense AF
Friday 17 July at 22:30
The model favours EC Bahia at 73%, a 2–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 63%.
EC Bahia vs Chapecoense AF: prediction, odds & correct score
Our statistical model makes EC Bahia the favourite, giving them a 73% chance of a home win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. That's a strong lean by the model's standards.
The single most likely exact score is 2–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 63%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 73%, the other outcomes still come in around 27% of the time.
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