Cruzeiro EC vs São Paulo FC
Thursday 8 October at 01:30 BST
The model favours Cruzeiro EC at 53%, a 1–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 46%.
About this forecast
Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.
Current forecast generated: . Recorded before the listed kick-off.
Model version: website-poisson-2026-09-v1. League fitting sample: 657 matches (not this team's last matches).
Data source: football-data.org. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.
Read the methodology and limitations and full recorded results, including losses.
Cruzeiro EC vs São Paulo FC: model estimates & correct score
Our statistical model makes Cruzeiro EC the favourite, giving them a 53% chance of a home win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 1–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 46%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 53%, the model assigns the other outcomes 47% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.
Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.
Goals-focused predictions: double chance, team over-goals, HT over goals and BTTS.
- ✓Over/Under goals
- ✓Double chance
- ✓BTTS
Predictions are statistical probabilities, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org