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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A

Coritiba FBC vs Chapecoense AF

Saturday 8 August at 23:30

The model favours Coritiba FBC at 69%, a 2–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 58%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Most likely score
2–0

Coritiba FBC vs Chapecoense AF: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes Coritiba FBC the favourite, giving them a 69% chance of a home win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. That's a strong lean by the model's standards.

The single most likely exact score is 2–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 58%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 69%, the other outcomes still come in around 31% of the time.

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