CA Paranaense vs SE Palmeiras
Saturday 17 October at 23:30 BST
The model favours SE Palmeiras at 37%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 46%.
About this forecast
Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.
Current forecast generated: . Recorded before the listed kick-off.
Model version: website-poisson-2026-09-v1. League fitting sample: 665 matches (not this team's last matches).
Data source: football-data.org. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.
Read the methodology and limitations and full recorded results, including losses.
CA Paranaense vs SE Palmeiras: model estimates & correct score
Our statistical model makes SE Palmeiras the favourite, giving them a 37% chance of an away win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. No single outcome reaches 40% in the model; the remaining probability is split between the other two outcomes.
The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 46%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 37%, the model assigns the other outcomes 63% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.
Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.
Covers several markets in one tool: 1X2, corners, BTTS and over/under 2.5 goals.
- ✓1X2
- ✓Corners
- ✓BTTS
Predictions are statistical probabilities, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org