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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A

Botafogo FR vs Santos FC

Thursday 16 July at 22:30

The model favours Botafogo FR at 64%, a 2–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 62%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Most likely score
2–1

Botafogo FR vs Santos FC: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes Botafogo FR the favourite, giving them a 64% chance of a home win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. That's a strong lean by the model's standards.

The single most likely exact score is 2–1. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 62%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 64%, the other outcomes still come in around 36% of the time.

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