Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC
Sunday 9 August at 00:00
The model favours Botafogo FR at 51%, a 1–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 46%.
Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC: prediction, odds & correct score
Our statistical model makes Botafogo FR the favourite, giving them a 51% chance of a home win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 1–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 46%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 51%, the other outcomes still come in around 49% of the time.
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