Botafogo FR vs Chapecoense AF
Saturday 17 October at 22:00 BST
The model favours Botafogo FR at 66%, a 2–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 64%.
About this forecast
Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.
Current forecast generated: . Recorded before the listed kick-off.
Model version: website-poisson-2026-09-v1. League fitting sample: 665 matches (not this team's last matches).
Data source: football-data.org. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.
Read the methodology and limitations and full recorded results, including losses.
Botafogo FR vs Chapecoense AF: model estimates & correct score
Our statistical model makes Botafogo FR the favourite, giving them a 66% chance of a home win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. That's a strong lean by the model's standards.
The single most likely exact score is 2–1. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 64%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 66%, the model assigns the other outcomes 34% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.
Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.
Specialises in half-time/full-time outcomes: how matches swing across both halves.
- ✓Half-time / Full-time
- ✓Correct score
- ✓Goals
Predictions are statistical probabilities, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org