AJ Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29
Sunday 20 September at 14:00 BST
The model favours AJ Auxerre at 42%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 52%.
About this forecast
Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.
Current forecast generated: . Recorded before the listed kick-off.
Model version: website-poisson-2026-09-v1. League fitting sample: 347 matches (not this team's last matches).
Data source: football-data.org. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.
Read the methodology and limitations and full recorded results, including losses.
AJ Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29: model estimates & correct score
Our statistical model makes AJ Auxerre the favourite, giving them a 42% chance of a home win, in this Ligue 1 fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 52%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 42%, the model assigns the other outcomes 58% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.
Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.
Goals-focused predictions: double chance, team over-goals, HT over goals and BTTS.
- ✓Over/Under goals
- ✓Double chance
- ✓BTTS
Predictions are statistical probabilities, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org