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Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:30 BST

The model favours VfB Stuttgart at 71%, a 2–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 71%.

About this forecast

Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.

Current forecast generated: . Recorded before the listed kick-off.

Model version: website-poisson-2026-09-v1. League fitting sample: 351 matches (not this team's last matches).

Data source: football-data.org. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.

Read the methodology and limitations.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Most likely score
2–1

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: model estimates & correct score

Our statistical model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite, giving them a 71% chance of a home win, in this Bundesliga fixture. That's a strong lean by the model's standards.

The single most likely exact score is 2–1. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 71%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 71%, the model assigns the other outcomes 29% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.

Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.

Our software
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Just HT-FT Football Predictions

Specialises in half-time/full-time outcomes: how matches swing across both halves.

  • ✓Half-time / Full-time
  • ✓Correct score
  • ✓Goals

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