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Serie A

Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina

Friday 11 September at 18:45

The model favours ACF Fiorentina at 38%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 47%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Most likely score
1–1

Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes ACF Fiorentina the favourite, giving them a 38% chance of an away win, in this Serie A fixture. It's a genuinely open match: no outcome clears 40%, so this is close to a coin-toss with only a slight lean.

The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 47%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 38%, the other outcomes still come in around 62% of the time.

Our software
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Just Goals V5

Goals-focused predictions: double chance, team over-goals, HT over goals and BTTS.

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Predictions are statistical probabilities, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org

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