Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Newcastle United FC
Saturday, 29 August 2026 at 17:30 BST
The model favours Newcastle United FC at 40%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 63%.
About this forecast
Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.
Generation time was not recorded for this forecast; pre-match publication cannot be verified here.
Model version: not recorded. League fitting sample: not recorded.
Data source: not recorded for this forecast. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.
Read the methodology and limitations.
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Newcastle United FC: model estimates & correct score
Our statistical model makes Newcastle United FC the favourite, giving them a 40% chance of an away win, in this Premier League fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 63%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 40%, the model assigns the other outcomes 60% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.
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