Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Newcastle United FC
Saturday 29 August at 16:30
The model favours Newcastle United FC at 40%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 63%.
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Newcastle United FC: prediction, odds & correct score
Our statistical model makes Newcastle United FC the favourite, giving them a 40% chance of an away win, in this Premier League fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 63%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 40%, the other outcomes still come in around 60% of the time.
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