Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Aston Villa FC
Saturday 19 September at 11:30
The model favours Aston Villa FC at 39%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 46%.
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Aston Villa FC: prediction, odds & correct score
Our statistical model makes Aston Villa FC the favourite, giving them a 39% chance of an away win, in this Premier League fixture. It's a genuinely open match: no outcome clears 40%, so this is close to a coin-toss with only a slight lean.
The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 46%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 39%, the other outcomes still come in around 61% of the time.
Tournament-focused predictions: correct scores, goals, result and BTTS for big fixtures.
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- ✓Goals
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Predictions are statistical probabilities, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org