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Serie A

Torino FC vs AC Monza

Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:45 BST

The model favours Torino FC at 46%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 66%.

About this forecast

Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.

Current forecast generated: . Recorded before the listed kick-off.

Model version: website-poisson-2026-09-v1. League fitting sample: 440 matches (not this team's last matches).

Data source: football-data.org. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.

Read the methodology and limitations.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Most likely score
1–1

Torino FC vs AC Monza: model estimates & correct score

Our statistical model makes Torino FC the favourite, giving them a 46% chance of a home win, in this Serie A fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.

The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 66%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 46%, the model assigns the other outcomes 54% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.

Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.

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