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Bundesliga

SV Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg

Saturday 19 September at 13:30

The model favours FC Augsburg at 40%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 55%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Most likely score
1–1

SV Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes FC Augsburg the favourite, giving them a 40% chance of an away win, in this Bundesliga fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.

The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 55%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 40%, the other outcomes still come in around 60% of the time.

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