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Premier League

Sunderland AFC vs Arsenal FC

Saturday 12 September at 19:00

The model favours Arsenal FC at 52%, a 0–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 38%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Most likely score
0–1

Sunderland AFC vs Arsenal FC: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes Arsenal FC the favourite, giving them a 52% chance of an away win, in this Premier League fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.

The single most likely exact score is 0–1. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 38%, leaning towards a lower-scoring, cagey affair.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 52%, the other outcomes still come in around 48% of the time.

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