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Serie A

SSC Napoli vs Bologna FC 1909

Sunday 13 September at 16:00

The model favours SSC Napoli at 50%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 47%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Most likely score
1–1

SSC Napoli vs Bologna FC 1909: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes SSC Napoli the favourite, giving them a 50% chance of a home win, in this Serie A fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.

The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 47%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 50%, the other outcomes still come in around 50% of the time.

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