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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A

SE Palmeiras vs São Paulo FC

Saturday 12 September at 21:30

The model favours SE Palmeiras at 62%, a 1–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 47%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Most likely score
1–0

SE Palmeiras vs São Paulo FC: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes SE Palmeiras the favourite, giving them a 62% chance of a home win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. That's a strong lean by the model's standards.

The single most likely exact score is 1–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 47%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 62%, the other outcomes still come in around 38% of the time.

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