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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A

SC Corinthians Paulista vs Chapecoense AF

Sunday 6 September at 22:30

The model favours SC Corinthians Paulista at 68%, a 2–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 55%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Most likely score
2–0

SC Corinthians Paulista vs Chapecoense AF: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes SC Corinthians Paulista the favourite, giving them a 68% chance of a home win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. That's a strong lean by the model's standards.

The single most likely exact score is 2–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 55%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 68%, the other outcomes still come in around 32% of the time.

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