SC Corinthians Paulista vs CA Paranaense
Thursday 30 July at 22:30
The model favours SC Corinthians Paulista at 42%, a 1–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 35%.
SC Corinthians Paulista vs CA Paranaense: prediction, odds & correct score
Our statistical model makes SC Corinthians Paulista the favourite, giving them a 42% chance of a home win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 1–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 35%, leaning towards a lower-scoring, cagey affair.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 42%, the other outcomes still come in around 58% of the time.
Daily all-round picks: two correct scores plus goals, 1X2, BTTS and HT/FT for each match.
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