São Paulo FC vs CA Paranaense
Thursday 23 July at 00:30
The model favours São Paulo FC at 45%, a 1–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 37%.
São Paulo FC vs CA Paranaense: prediction, odds & correct score
Our statistical model makes São Paulo FC the favourite, giving them a 45% chance of a home win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 1–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 37%, leaning towards a lower-scoring, cagey affair.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 45%, the other outcomes still come in around 55% of the time.
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