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Bundesliga

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV

Sunday 13 September at 13:30

The model favours RB Leipzig at 65%, a 2–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 62%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Most likely score
2–0

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes RB Leipzig the favourite, giving them a 65% chance of a home win, in this Bundesliga fixture. That's a strong lean by the model's standards.

The single most likely exact score is 2–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 62%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 65%, the other outcomes still come in around 35% of the time.

Our software
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Modelled Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals indicators for each day's fixtures, across hundreds of competitions.

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