Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Tuesday 15 September at 18:00 BST
The model favours Rayo Vallecano de Madrid at 47%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 46%.
About this forecast
Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.
Generation time was not recorded for this forecast; pre-match publication cannot be verified here.
Model version: not recorded. League fitting sample: not recorded.
Data source: not recorded for this forecast. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.
Read the methodology and limitations and full recorded results, including losses.
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: model estimates & correct score
Our statistical model makes Rayo Vallecano de Madrid the favourite, giving them a 47% chance of a home win, in this Primera Division fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 46%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 47%, the model assigns the other outcomes 53% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.
Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.
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