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Serie A

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Genoa CFC

Sunday 20 September at 13:00

The model favours Genoa CFC at 35%, a 0–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 31%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
31%
Most likely score
0–0

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Genoa CFC: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes Genoa CFC the favourite, giving them a 35% chance of an away win, in this Serie A fixture. It's a genuinely open match: no outcome clears 40%, so this is close to a coin-toss with only a slight lean.

The single most likely exact score is 0–0, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 31%, leaning towards a lower-scoring, cagey affair.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 35%, the other outcomes still come in around 65% of the time.

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