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Premier League

Nottingham Forest FC vs Coventry City FC

Saturday 19 September at 16:30

The model favours Nottingham Forest FC at 50%, a 1–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 39%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Most likely score
1–0

Nottingham Forest FC vs Coventry City FC: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes Nottingham Forest FC the favourite, giving them a 50% chance of a home win, in this Premier League fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.

The single most likely exact score is 1–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 39%, leaning towards a lower-scoring, cagey affair.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 50%, the other outcomes still come in around 50% of the time.

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