Mirassol FC vs São Paulo FC
Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 20:30 BST
The model favours Mirassol FC at 48%, a 1–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 43%.
About this forecast
Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.
Current forecast generated: . Recorded before the listed kick-off.
Model version: website-poisson-2026-09-v1. League fitting sample: 679 matches (not this team's last matches).
Data source: football-data.org. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.
Read the methodology and limitations.
Mirassol FC vs São Paulo FC: model estimates & correct score
Our statistical model makes Mirassol FC the favourite, giving them a 48% chance of a home win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 1–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 43%, leaning towards a lower-scoring, cagey affair.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 48%, the model assigns the other outcomes 52% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.
Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.
A broad predictions suite: three correct scores plus goals, 1X2, BTTS and team form.
- ✓Correct score
- ✓Goals
- ✓1X2
Predictions are statistical probabilities, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org