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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A

Mirassol FC vs EC Vitória

Sunday 13 September at 19:00

The model favours Mirassol FC at 53%, a 1–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 44%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Most likely score
1–0

Mirassol FC vs EC Vitória: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes Mirassol FC the favourite, giving them a 53% chance of a home win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.

The single most likely exact score is 1–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 44%, leaning towards a lower-scoring, cagey affair.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 53%, the other outcomes still come in around 47% of the time.

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