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Premier League

Manchester City FC vs Sunderland AFC

Sunday 20 September at 13:00

The model favours Manchester City FC at 65%, a 1–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 51%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Most likely score
1–0

Manchester City FC vs Sunderland AFC: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes Manchester City FC the favourite, giving them a 65% chance of a home win, in this Premier League fixture. That's a strong lean by the model's standards.

The single most likely exact score is 1–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 51%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 65%, the other outcomes still come in around 35% of the time.

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