Manchester City FC vs AFC Bournemouth
Sunday, 23 August 2026 at 14:00 BST
The model favours Manchester City FC at 63%, a 2–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 59%.
About this forecast
Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.
Generation time was not recorded for this forecast; pre-match publication cannot be verified here.
Model version: not recorded. League fitting sample: not recorded.
Data source: not recorded for this forecast. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.
Read the methodology and limitations.
Manchester City FC vs AFC Bournemouth: model estimates & correct score
Our statistical model makes Manchester City FC the favourite, giving them a 63% chance of a home win, in this Premier League fixture. That's a strong lean by the model's standards.
The single most likely exact score is 2–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 59%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 63%, the model assigns the other outcomes 37% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.
Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.
Estimates the most likely exact scorelines for upcoming matches, ranked by probability.
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