Ipswich Town FC vs Sunderland AFC
Saturday 22 August at 14:00
The model favours Sunderland AFC at 54%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 46%.
Ipswich Town FC vs Sunderland AFC: prediction, odds & correct score
Our statistical model makes Sunderland AFC the favourite, giving them a 54% chance of an away win, in this Premier League fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 46%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 54%, the other outcomes still come in around 46% of the time.
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