Fulham FC vs Manchester United FC
Sunday 20 September at 15:30
The model favours Manchester United FC at 45%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 59%.
Fulham FC vs Manchester United FC: prediction, odds & correct score
Our statistical model makes Manchester United FC the favourite, giving them a 45% chance of an away win, in this Premier League fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 59%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 45%, the other outcomes still come in around 55% of the time.
Daily all-round picks: two correct scores plus goals, 1X2, BTTS and HT/FT for each match.
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