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Bundesliga

FC Bayern München vs 1. FC Union Berlin

Friday 18 September at 18:30

The model favours FC Bayern München at 88%, a 3–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 86%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
86%
Most likely score
3–0

FC Bayern München vs 1. FC Union Berlin: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes FC Bayern München the favourite, giving them a 88% chance of a home win, in this Bundesliga fixture. That's a strong lean by the model's standards.

The single most likely exact score is 3–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 86%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 88%, the other outcomes still come in around 12% of the time.

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