FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 20:00 GMT
The model favours FC Barcelona at 83%, a 3–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 78%.
About this forecast
Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.
Current forecast generated: . Recorded before the listed kick-off.
Model version: website-poisson-2026-09-v1. League fitting sample: 469 matches (not this team's last matches).
Data source: football-data.org. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.
Read the methodology and limitations.
FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés: model estimates & correct score
Our statistical model makes FC Barcelona the favourite, giving them a 83% chance of a home win, in this Primera Division fixture. That's a strong lean by the model's standards.
The single most likely exact score is 3–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 78%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 83%, the model assigns the other outcomes 17% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.
Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.
Compare Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals indicators in Microsoft Excel. For Windows PCs, with 12 months of access and a short video demo.
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