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Bundesliga

FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Saturday 12 September at 13:30

The model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 42%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 63%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Most likely score
1–1

FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes Bayer 04 Leverkusen the favourite, giving them a 42% chance of an away win, in this Bundesliga fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.

The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 63%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 42%, the other outcomes still come in around 58% of the time.

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