EC Vitória vs SE Palmeiras
Thursday 30 July at 00:30
The model favours SE Palmeiras at 51%, a 0–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 40%.
EC Vitória vs SE Palmeiras: prediction, odds & correct score
Our statistical model makes SE Palmeiras the favourite, giving them a 51% chance of an away win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 0–1. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 40%, leaning towards a lower-scoring, cagey affair.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 51%, the other outcomes still come in around 49% of the time.
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