EC Vitória vs Grêmio FBPA
Monday 7 September at 23:00
The model favours EC Vitória at 40%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 39%.
EC Vitória vs Grêmio FBPA: prediction, odds & correct score
Our statistical model makes EC Vitória the favourite, giving them a 40% chance of a home win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 39%, leaning towards a lower-scoring, cagey affair.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 40%, the other outcomes still come in around 60% of the time.
Modelled Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals indicators for each day's fixtures, across hundreds of competitions.
- ✓Goals
- ✓Over/Under 1.5
- ✓Over/Under 2.5
Predictions are statistical probabilities, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org