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Premier League

Crystal Palace FC vs Manchester City FC

Friday, 28 August 2026 at 20:00 BST

The model favours Manchester City FC at 57%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 51%.

About this forecast

Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.

Generation time was not recorded for this forecast; pre-match publication cannot be verified here.

Model version: not recorded. League fitting sample: not recorded.

Data source: not recorded for this forecast. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.

Read the methodology and limitations.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Most likely score
1–1

Crystal Palace FC vs Manchester City FC: model estimates & correct score

Our statistical model makes Manchester City FC the favourite, giving them a 57% chance of an away win, in this Premier League fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.

The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 51%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 57%, the model assigns the other outcomes 43% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.

Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.

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