Chapecoense AF vs Fluminense FC
Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 23:30 BST
The model favours Fluminense FC at 53%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 58%.
About this forecast
Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.
Current forecast generated: . Recorded before the listed kick-off.
Model version: website-poisson-2026-09-v1. League fitting sample: 679 matches (not this team's last matches).
Data source: football-data.org. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.
Read the methodology and limitations.
Chapecoense AF vs Fluminense FC: model estimates & correct score
Our statistical model makes Fluminense FC the favourite, giving them a 53% chance of an away win, in this Campeonato Brasileiro Série A fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 58%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 53%, the model assigns the other outcomes 47% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.
Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.
Estimates the most likely exact scorelines for upcoming matches, ranked by probability.
- ✓Correct score
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