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Premier League

Brentford FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC

Saturday 22 August at 16:30

The model favours Brentford FC at 49%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 62%.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Most likely score
1–1

Brentford FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC: prediction, odds & correct score

Our statistical model makes Brentford FC the favourite, giving them a 49% chance of a home win, in this Premier League fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.

The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 62%, pointing towards an open, higher-scoring game.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 49%, the other outcomes still come in around 51% of the time.

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