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Premier League

Aston Villa FC vs Fulham FC

Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 20:00 GMT

The model favours Aston Villa FC at 48%, a 1–1 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 47%.

About this forecast

Automatically generated summary of the free website model. It is not a report of team news or a separately verified expert assessment.

Current forecast generated: . Recorded before the listed kick-off.

Model version: website-poisson-2026-09-v1. League fitting sample: 450 matches (not this team's last matches).

Data source: football-data.org. Injuries, lineups and weather are not inputs to the website model.

Read the methodology and limitations.

Most likelyMiddleLeast likely
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Most likely score
1–1

Aston Villa FC vs Fulham FC: model estimates & correct score

Our statistical model makes Aston Villa FC the favourite, giving them a 48% chance of a home win, in this Premier League fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.

The single most likely exact score is 1–1, a reminder that tight, low-margin games are common even when one side is on top. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 47%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.

These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They are estimates, not measured success rates: at 48%, the model assigns the other outcomes 52% combined. Actual outcomes can differ from these estimates.

Related paid software. This free forecast and its results do not demonstrate the performance of the product below.

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Covers several markets in one tool: 1X2, corners, BTTS and over/under 2.5 goals.

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