Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FC
Sunday 6 September at 15:30
The model favours Arsenal FC at 63%, a 2–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 51%.
Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FC: prediction, odds & correct score
Our statistical model makes Arsenal FC the favourite, giving them a 63% chance of a home win, in this Premier League fixture. That's a strong lean by the model's standards.
The single most likely exact score is 2–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 51%, with goals roughly a coin-toss.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 63%, the other outcomes still come in around 37% of the time.
Daily all-round picks: two correct scores plus goals, 1X2, BTTS and HT/FT for each match.
- ✓Correct score
- ✓Goals
- ✓1X2
Predictions are statistical probabilities, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org