AC Milan vs US Lecce
Sunday 20 September at 18:45
The model favours AC Milan at 54%, a 1–0 scoreline is most likely, over 2.5 goals is rated at 36%.
AC Milan vs US Lecce: prediction, odds & correct score
Our statistical model makes AC Milan the favourite, giving them a 54% chance of a home win, in this Serie A fixture. They're favoured, but this is far from a one-sided call.
The single most likely exact score is 1–0. The model rates the chance of over 2.5 goals at 36%, leaning towards a lower-scoring, cagey affair.
These figures come from a model that rates each team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting recent form more heavily than older matches. They're probabilities, not certainties: even at 54%, the other outcomes still come in around 46% of the time.
Tournament-focused predictions: correct scores, goals, result and BTTS for big fixtures.
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Predictions are statistical probabilities, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org